Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 22.168466 25.128844 28.359663 32.150950 36.482710 41.282986 47.013218
2025-02-02 18.183890 22.295291 27.165790 33.377024 41.110873 50.453687 62.642098
2025-02-09 15.129577 19.778181 25.668015 33.714373 44.478081 58.459978 78.129414
2025-02-16 12.582627 17.350373 23.740215 32.990513 46.140413 64.313896 91.595292
2025-02-23 10.739442 15.505002 22.209325 32.416232 47.718035 70.049966 105.559165
2025-03-02 9.354866 14.064224 20.979660 31.990043 49.299151 75.828074 120.263284
2025-03-09 8.348976 13.020026 20.150916 31.976913 51.394008 82.524184 137.237218
2025-03-16 7.500381 12.092594 19.355756 31.859369 53.226026 88.936261 154.568002
2025-03-23 7.042229 11.720512 19.374663 33.032633 57.289136 99.495534 180.517583
2025-03-30 6.462602 11.070434 18.845019 33.179696 59.553317 107.175990 202.349506
2025-04-06 5.814047 10.223890 17.875954 32.413391 60.040744 111.658444 218.727506
2025-04-13 5.291490 9.538691 17.107080 31.900955 60.898773 116.876774 237.223254
2025-04-20 5.030209 9.312519 17.164884 32.993180 65.075668 129.248153 272.712744
2025-04-27 4.843210 9.205163 17.432950 34.531823 70.365192 144.630375 317.304171
2025-05-04 4.543891 8.848452 17.183135 35.001688 73.521381 156.046861 355.128049
2025-05-11 4.149254 8.260421 16.412690 34.298507 74.081111 161.954480 381.278457
2025-05-18 3.811033 7.749970 15.742139 33.720936 74.829662 168.366822 409.713220
2025-05-25 3.521981 7.310568 15.170263 33.285293 75.832566 175.485793 441.114916
2025-06-01 3.299150 6.987789 14.809601 33.275296 77.816798 185.188805 480.844313
2025-06-08 3.088013 6.668419 14.421983 33.154257 79.514841 194.429753 520.999416
2025-06-15 2.998214 6.607418 14.597992 34.378782 84.682510 213.110481 590.549235
2025-06-22 2.836597 6.367653 14.343883 34.532488 87.164310 225.225836 643.715023
2025-06-29 2.624456 5.990639 13.734178 33.733229 87.063600 230.461387 677.614033